{"version":"1.0","generated_at":"2026-10-22T11:22:51.550627","id":3547,"slug":"deepmind-founder-hassabis-shortens-agi-timeline-from-five-to-two-to-three-years","title":"DeepMind 创始人哈萨比斯将 AGI 时间表从五年缩短至两到三年","summary":"Google DeepMind 创始人、诺贝尔化学奖得主德米斯·哈萨比斯现在认为 AGI 可能在未来两到三年内到来，此前他曾给出三到五年的估计，而他定义 AGI 的标准是系统能匹配人脑的全部认知范围。","abstract":"DeepMind 创始人哈萨比斯将 AGI 时间表从五年缩短至两到三年 Google DeepMind 创始人、诺贝尔化学奖得主德米斯·哈萨比斯现在认为 AGI 可能在未来两到三年内到来，此前他曾给出三到五年的估计，而他定义 AGI 的标准是系统能匹配人脑的全部认知范围。 Google DeepMind 创始人、诺贝尔化学奖得主德米斯·哈萨比斯现在认为 AGI 可能在未来两到三年内到来，此前他曾给出三到五年的估计，而他定义 AGI 的标准是系统能匹配人脑的全部认知范围。 原贴提到：Demis Hassabis, Google Deepmind founder and Nobel laureate in chemistry, 来源：the-decoder.com Google DeepMind 创始人、诺贝尔化学奖得主德米斯·哈萨比斯现在认为，AGI 可能在未来两到三年内到来。他将 AGI 定义为一个能匹配人脑完整认知范围的系统。这一时间表在不断缩短。今年早些时候，他说的是三到五年。 “它很快就会发生。我的估计不断向当下靠近。”他告诉《华尔街日报》。他的试金石是“爱因斯坦测试”：一个只用 1901 年前知识训练的系统，能否重现爱因斯坦 1905 年的论文？哈萨比斯曾将 AGI 的影响比作“以十倍速度发生的十倍工业革命”。 自从卸任 Google DeepMind 职务后，他专注于 Google 的药物发现 AI 衍生公司 Isomorphic Labs。在安全方面，他最近提出一个由行业出资、置于政府控制之下的监督委员会，在模型发布前进行审查。他警告说，糟糕的监管比没有监管更糟…","access_level":"public","access_label":"公开","access_mode":"full","is_preview":false,"canonical_url":"https://opc.beizhux.com/content/3547/deepmind-founder-hassabis-shortens-agi-timeline-from-five-to-two-to-three-years","html_url":"https://opc.beizhux.com/content/3547/deepmind-founder-hassabis-shortens-agi-timeline-from-five-to-two-to-three-years","json_url":"https://opc.beizhux.com/content/3547/deepmind-founder-hassabis-shortens-agi-timeline-from-five-to-two-to-three-years.json","published_at":"2026-10-22T01:10:46","updated_at":"2026-10-22T10:52:02","category":{"slug":"hotspots","name":"全球热点解读"},"source":{"site":"the-decoder.com","author":"Matthias Bastian","url":"https://the-decoder.com/deepmind-founder-hassabis-shortens-agi-timeline-from-five-to-two-to-three-years/"},"tags":["AGI","AI安全","DeepMind","Isomorphic 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关联原因：这篇内容命中「热点解读」等主题信号。；这篇内容命中「认知」等主题信号。；这篇内容来自该专题长期覆盖的栏目。"},{"question":"阅读这篇文章建议先理解哪些关键词？","answer":"建议先理解AI日报、每日AI日报、AI信号、热点解读、BuilderPulse这些关键词，再结合正文判断工具、机会或风险是否值得进入自己的工作流。"}],"terms":[{"slug":"ai-daily-term","name":"AI日报","definition":"在AI觉醒星球里，「AI日报」属于「AI日报」方向。持续整理每日AI日报、模型更新、工具变化和行业信号，帮你快速判断哪些信息值得收藏、验证和行动。 每天先看趋势，再决定今天该试什么。","topic_slug":"ai-daily","topic_name":"AI日报","topic_title":"AI日报：每日AI信号、工具动态与行动判断","topic_url":"https://opc.beizhux.com/topics/ai-daily","topic_path":"/topics/ai-daily","url":"https://opc.beizhux.com/glossary/ai-daily-term","path":"/glossary/ai-daily-term","json_url":"https://opc.beizhux.com/glossary/ai-daily-term.json"},{"slug":"daily-ai-briefing","name":"每日AI日报","definition":"在AI觉醒星球里，「每日AI日报」属于「AI日报」方向。持续整理每日AI日报、模型更新、工具变化和行业信号，帮你快速判断哪些信息值得收藏、验证和行动。 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