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2026-08-08 0 浏览 会员

AI 代理使用的能量大约是简单聊天提示的 600 倍

气候科学家 Zeke Hausfather 的实际测算显示,AI 代理(如 Claude Code)的能耗远超官方报告的单次聊天查询数据。八周高强度使用消耗约 170 千瓦时,年化碳排放相当于一台电动烘干机。代理系统因反复读取上下文,能耗呈指数级增长,而 AI 实验室并未公布真实每 token 成本。

SOURCE / AI小生意项目库 MIN / 9 ACCESS / 会员 POST / 2026-08-08 17:44:06

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作者:Matthias Bastian 来源站点:the-decoder.com 原贴时间:

原文

Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather demonstrates in a new analysis that AI agents consume far more energy than the simple chat query figures reported by Google and OpenAI suggest. Over eight weeks of logging his use of the programming agent Claude Code, roughly 1,100 inputs generated over 14,000 model calls and 3.2 billion tokens, consuming about 170 kilowatt-hours of electricity, around 150 watt-hours per input. Projected over a full year, this level of intensive use produces CO₂ emissions comparable to running an electric clothes dryer. Hausfather sees the shift to clean energy sources for data centers as the most critical lever to cut emissions. Google and OpenAI have been reassuring users with low-energy consumption figures per AI query. Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather's Claude Code data tells a different story. Google says a median Gemini text prompt uses just 0.24 watt-hours (Wh), less energy than nine seconds of television. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman estimated the average ChatGPT query at 0.34 Wh , roughly on par with a Google search from 2009 . Both data points were published last year. Even then, it was clear the numbers misrepresent actual AI usage. They don't account for reasoning models that generate many times more tokens from a single chat query, multimodal processing across various formats, multi-agent systems, code generation, scaling across billions of uses, and plenty of other factors. Google's "study" in particular massively downplayed real energy consumption . Ad Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather has now calculated just how big that gap is in an analysis on The Climate Brink . One major blind spot remains: nobody outside AI labs knows the actual energy cost per token of a state-of-the-art model. Keep in mind that Hausfather's numbers are reasonable estimates, but still just estimates. Ad DEC_D_Incontent-1 They're also based on current usage patterns. AI labs are already working to scale agent-based systems that run autonomously on tasks for days, weeks, or even months . That could drive an exponential jump in energy consumption. Hausfather tracked his own usage in detail over eight weeks. Claude Code stores complete local logs of every session, including exact token counts reported by the API for each model call. Ad His 1,138 typed prompts triggered over 14,000 model calls, an average of twelve per prompt. Each prompt processed an average of 2.9 million tokens. For comparison, a typical chat exchange without reasoning or web searches runs about a thousand tokens. In total, his Claude Code processed 3.2 billion tokens. Of those, 96 percent were cache reads because at each of the 14,000 steps, the agent re-reads its entire accumulated context. The text Hausfather actually sees on screen, the model's output, accounts for just 0.4 percent of all processed tokens. Ad DEC_D_Incontent-2 His best estimate for total consumption comes to about 170 kWh of data center electricity over eight weeks, with an uncertainty range of 70 to 330 kWh. Hausfather directly measured only the token counts from his Claude Code logs, and the conversion to electricity values relies on three independent methods with different assumptions. Ad

中文翻译

气候科学家 Zeke Hausfather 在一项新的分析中表明,AI 代理消耗的能量远高于 Google 和 OpenAI 所报告的简单聊天查询数据。在八周的时间里,他记录了自己使用编程代理 Claude Code 的情况,大约 1,100 次输入生成了超过 14,000 次模型调用和 32 亿个 token,消耗约 170 千瓦时的电力,每次输入约 150 瓦时。按一整年推算,这种高强度使用产生的二氧化碳排放量相当于运行一台电动烘干机。

Hausfather 认为,数据中心转向清洁能源是削减排放的最关键杠杆。Google 和 OpenAI 一直在用每次 AI 查询的低能耗数据来安抚用户。气候科学家 Zeke Hausfather 的 Claude Code 数据则讲述了不同的故事。Google 表示,一次典型的 Gemini 文本提示仅消耗 0.24 瓦时(Wh),比看九秒电视的能耗还少。OpenAI 首席执行官 Sam Altman 估计,ChatGPT 查询的平均能耗为 0.34 Wh,大致与 2009 年的 Google 搜索相当。这两个数据点都是去年发布的。即便如此,很明显这些数字并不能反映实际的 AI 使用情况。它们没有考虑到推理模型(一次聊天查询会生成多倍数量的 token)、跨各种格式的多模态处理、多代理系统、代码生成、数十亿次使用的扩展,以及其他许多因素。尤其是 Google 的“研究”大大低估了实际能耗。

气候科学家 Zeke Hausfather 现在在 The Climate Brink 上的一篇分析中计算了这一差距有多大。一个主要的盲点仍然存在:除 AI 实验室外,没有人知道最先进模型每 token 的实际能耗成本。请记住,Hausfather 的数据是合理的估算,但仍然只是估算。

这些数据还基于当前的使用模式。AI 实验室已经在努力扩展基于代理的系统,这些系统可以自主运行数天、数周甚至数月。这可能会导致能耗呈指数级增长。Hausfather 详细记录了自己八周的使用情况。Claude Code 会保存每个会话的完整本地日志,包括 API 报告的每次模型调用的确切 token 数量。他的 1,138 条输入提示触发了超过 14,000 次模型调用,平均每个提示触发十二次。每次提示平均处理 290 万个 token。作为对比,一次典型的无需推理或网络搜索的聊天交流大约运行一千个 token。总的来说,他的 Claude Code 处理了 32 亿个 token。其中,96% 是缓存读取,因为在每 14,000 步中,代理都会重新读取其累积的完整上下文。Hausfather 在屏幕上实际看到的文本,即模型的输出,仅占所有处理 token 的 0.4%。他对总消耗的最佳估计为八周内约 170 千瓦时的数据中心电力,不确定性范围为 70 至 330 千瓦时。Hausfather 只直接测量了来自其 Claude Code 日志的 token 数量,而转换为电力值则依赖于三种不同假设的独立方法。

核心信息

气候科学家 Zeke Hausfather 的实际测算显示,AI 代理(如 Claude Code)的能耗远超官方报告的单次聊天查询数据。八周高强度使用消耗约 170 千瓦时,年化碳排放相当于一台电动烘干机。代理系统因反复读取上下文,能耗呈指数级增长,而 AI 实验室并未公布真实每 token 成本。

  • 气候科学家 Zeke Hausfather 的实际测算显示,AI 代理(如 Claude Code)的能耗远超官方报告的单次聊天查询数据。八周高强度使用消耗约 170 千瓦时,年化碳排放相当于一台电动烘干机。代理系统因反复读取上下文,能耗呈指数级增长,而 AI 实验室并未公布真实每 token 成本。
  • 原贴提到:Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather demonstrates in a new analysis that AI
  • 来源:the-decoder.com
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